油價(jià)金價(jià)再創(chuàng)新高

在美元再度走軟之際，原油及黃金價(jià)格昨日再創(chuàng)新高，因投資者試圖躲避第二輪信貸動蕩的沖擊。

Crude oil and gold prices surged to fresh highs yesterday amid renewed dollar weakness as investors sought refuge from a second wave of credit turmoil.

西德克薩斯中質(zhì)原油(West Texas Intermediate)大幅上漲逾3美元，創(chuàng)下每桶97.07美元的名義高點(diǎn)，交易員警告稱，如果本周美國原油庫存數(shù)據(jù)較上周又有下降，油價(jià)最早可能于今日試探每桶100美元的水平。

West Texas Intermediate jumped more than $3 to a nominal record of $97.07 a barrel and traders warned it might test the $100-a-barrel level as soon as today if US crude oil inventories show another weekly decline.

美國能源情報(bào)署(Energy Information Administration)一份看漲的報(bào)告推動了油價(jià)上漲，報(bào)告稱“緊張的基本面因素”將繼續(xù)推高油價(jià)。能源情報(bào)署是美國能源部(Department of Energy)的統(tǒng)計(jì)機(jī)構(gòu)。

The price jump was helped by a bullish report from the Energy Information Administration, the statistical arm of the US Energy Department, warning that “tight fundamentals” would continue to push up oil prices.

能源情報(bào)署預(yù)測原油價(jià)格“在未來數(shù)月內(nèi)將超過每桶80美元”，在2008年將維持在每桶75美元以上，因?yàn)椤叭蛟褪袌隹赡苋詫⑻幱诰o張狀態(tài)?！痹摍C(jī)構(gòu)表示，石油輸出國組織(OPEC，簡稱歐佩克)需要在目前每日增產(chǎn)50萬桶的基礎(chǔ)上，再增產(chǎn)70萬桶，從而使市場維持平衡狀態(tài)，直到明年第一季度。

The EIA forecast that crude oil prices would “exceed $80 per barrel over the next several months” and trade above $75 a barrel in 2008 as “global oil markets will likely remain stretched.” It said the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries would need to add another 700,000 barrels a day on top of its current production increase of 500,000 b/d to balance the market through the first quarter of 2008.

針對原油價(jià)格在1年內(nèi)超過每桶100美元的看漲期權(quán)價(jià)格飆升至每桶4.15美元，較10月底上漲近70%。

The cost of using options contracts to insure against crude oil trading at $100 in a year’s time surged to $4.15 per barrel, up almost 70 per cent since the end of October.

在原油價(jià)格上漲和美元不斷走軟的共同作用下，黃金價(jià)格升至824.3美元/盎司的28年高點(diǎn)，僅略低于1980年1月份850美元/盎司的歷史高點(diǎn)。

The combination of strong crude oil prices and a weakening dollar boosted gold prices to a fresh 28-year high of $824.3 an ounce, just below its all-time high of $850 reached in January 1980.

貴金屬交易員們表示，投資者在增持黃金——沒有人賣出。Dresdner Kleinwort駐倫敦的貴金屬業(yè)務(wù)主管大衛(wèi)?赫爾姆斯(David Holmes)表示，金價(jià)升至每盎司850美元的“可能性很大。”

Precious metals traders said investors were adding to their gold positions – no one was selling. David Holmes, head of precious metals at Dresdner Kleinwort in London, said a rise to $850 was “very much on the cards”.

瑞銀集團(tuán)(UBS)駐倫敦的貴金屬策略主管約翰?里德(John Reade)將其1個(gè)月期金價(jià)預(yù)測定為“不可避免的”每盎司850美元。

John Reade, head of metals strategy at UBS in London, upgraded its one-month gold forecast to an “inevitable” $850 an ounce.

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